The possibility of intelligent systems as artificial intelligence replacing much of Modern manual labor is a more plausible possibility, perhaps in the near future.
While artificial intelligence will not replace all jobs, what is certain is that artificial intelligence will change the nature of work, and the only question is how quickly and how deeply automation will change the workplace.
There is hardly a single area of human effort where artificial intelligence does not have the potential to influence.AI expert Andrew Ng said: "many people do routine, repetitive jobs unfortunately technology is particularly good at automating routine, repetitive jobs."Technological unemployment over the next few years is a significant risk," he said.
Debate is starting to emerge about which professions artificial intelligence will replace. There are now 27 Amazon Go stores and cashier-free supermarkets in the US where customers pick up items from shelves and go out.What this means for the more than three million people who work as cashiers in the US remains unclear. Amazon is once again taking the lead in using robots to improve efficiency in its warehouses.These robots transport items on the shelves to human collectors who select items to send . Amazon has more than 200,000 robots in its fulfillment centers, with plans to add more. But Amazon stresses that as the number of robots increases,so does the number of human workers in these warehouses. But Amazon's small robots are working to automate the manual jobs that remain in storage, so it's not certain that manual and robotic labor will continue to grow hand in hand.
Completely self-drive cars is not yet a reality, but according to some estimates, self outbound truck industry, even without considering the impact on couriers and taxi drivers job is preparing to take over more than 1.7 million in the next decade.
Still, some of the easiest jobs to automate don't even require robotics. Currently, as software systems get better at automatically updating and flagging important information, there are millions of people who work in management, enter and copy data between systems, track and book appointments for companies, so the need for managers will decimate.
As with every technological change, new jobs will be created to replace the jobs lost. But what is unclear is whether these new roles will be created quickly enough to provide employment to the displaced, and whether the new unemployed will have the skills or temperament necessary to fill these emerging roles.
Not everyone is pessimistic. For some, artificial intelligence, they argue, would be a commercial imperative, not just that, but to replace people directly as an AI-powered employee.Imagine a human janitor with a decoy who says exactly what a customer wants before asking them, it would be more productive or effective than an AI that works on its own.
There is a wide range of opinions among artificial intelligence experts about how quickly systems with artificial intelligence will decimate human capabilities.
Oxford University's Institute for the future of humanity has asked several hundred machine learning experts to predict artificial intelligence capabilities in the coming decades .
Key dates included artificial intelligence trials to be written by a human by 2026, truck drivers by 2027 to be decommissioned, retail by 2031 to surpass human capabilities, bestseller by 2049 to be written by a surgeon by 2053.
They estimated that Yapa intelligence was relatively likely to defeat people in all tasks within 45 years and to automate all human work within 120 years.